Predictions
Calls I've made, dated and never edited. Share-price calls score themselves from the closing price on the day; the rest I mark once they're settled.
Not financial advice.
- Open
- 5
- Right
- 0
- Wrong
- 1
- Hit rate
- 0%
Called 9 Oct 2026View on X · settles 16 Oct 2026
WrongTesla Roadster does a Hot Wheels style loop with no one in it at the reveal event
Settled15 Oct 2026.
Close, but no loop. At the Waco reveal the Roadster was driven remotely with no one in it, and it did a stunt straight off a Hot Wheels track: it raced up a tall ramp, clung to it using its suction fans and went inverted, then used cold-gas thrusters to flip, fly over a Cybercab, Cybertruck, Semi, Model Y and Model 3, and land. So I had the empty car and the upside-down driving right. What I missed is the shape: it never came round a full loop. An earlier plan reportedly had a roller-coaster-style ramp with more upside-down driving, but Tesla scaled the demo back before the night.
Called 28 Sep 2026 · settles 31 Dec 2026 (48 days to go)
OpenTesla ends 2026 with a share price over $500
- When I called it
- $357.45
- Now (12 Nov 2026)
- $399.28
- Needs
- ≥ $500
It needs +25.2% from here.
Right if the last close on or before 31 Dec 2026 is at least $500.
Details Jev's odds 28%Called 28 Sep 2026 · settles 31 Dec 2026 (48 days to go)
OpenSpaceX ends 2026 with a share price over $250
- When I called it
- $145.47
- Now (12 Nov 2026)
- $140.34
- Needs
- ≥ $250
It needs +78.1% from here.
Right if the last close on or before 31 Dec 2026 is at least $250.
Details Jev's odds 19%Called 29 Sep 2026 · settles 31 Dec 2026 (48 days to go)
OpenTesla has more autonomous robotaxis deployed than Waymo by the end of 2026
I'll mark this one by hand once it's settled.
Details Jev's odds 8%Called 28 Sep 2026 · settles 31 Dec 2027 (413 days to go)
OpenTesla and SpaceX merge in 2027
I'll mark this one by hand once it's settled.
Details Jev's odds 30%Called 29 Sep 2026 · settles 31 Dec 2027 (413 days to go)
OpenSpaceX has the best frontier AI model by the end of 2027
I'll mark this one by hand once it's settled.
Details Jev's odds 19%
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